As recently as in March, Fitch forecast slight growth in GDP for this year of 0.6%
According to the credit agency's forecast, real GDP in Finland is expected
to expand 1.1% and 1.3% in 2015 and 2016 respectively.
However, it noted that one area of uncertainty is whether the impact of EU
restrictive measures on Russia - and counter-measures by Russia - would result
in a greater than expected weakening of economic prospects in Russia, which is
Finland's third-largest export market.
In its latest evaluation, Fitch pointed to what it termed Finland's
"strong track record of prudent fiscal policy management and economic
policy implementation". The general government sector, it pointed out, has
a net asset position of just under 60% of GDP due to the strong financial
position of statutory pension plans.
The credit ratings agency reported that Finland is among only six OECD
countries to enjoy a government net asset position.
Even so, it points out that there are future developments that could result
in downward pressure on the ratings including a continued rise in the
government debt-to-GDP ratio in the medium-term, and a persistently low
potential growth rate of the economy, affecting further the sustainability of
the public finances.
Sources Yle
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